Modeling Of Non-Oil And Gas Export Forecasting Aceh Province Using Arima And Double Exponential Methods

Abdullah, Razali and Hasyim, Syarifuddin and Husaini, Husaini (2020) Modeling Of Non-Oil And Gas Export Forecasting Aceh Province Using Arima And Double Exponential Methods. In: ICON-ESS 2018, 17–18 October 2018, Banda Aceh, Indonesia.

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Abstract

Since 2017, there have been no exports of oil and gas commodities (oil and gas) from Aceh Province, so that the commodities exported only come from non-oil and gas commodities. From 2016 to 2015, non-oil and gas exports from Aceh were dominated by urea fertilizer. However, since 2015 there has been no export of urea fertilizer and has been replaced by anhydrous ammonia . K arena is important to model forecasting the value of non-oil exports. The model that is compared is the ARIMA and double exponential methods . The result is the ARIMA method is better in modeling the value of non-oil exports. The results of forecasting non-oil exports in Aceh Province in 2016 showed an increase compared to 2017.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Uncontrolled Keywords: non oil and gas exports arima double exponential
Subjects: H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
Depositing User: EAI Editor IV
Date Deposited: 19 Jul 2021 14:04
Last Modified: 19 Jul 2021 14:04
URI: https://eprints.eudl.eu/id/eprint/4847

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