Abdullah, Razali and Hasyim, Syarifuddin and Husaini, Husaini (2020) Modeling Of Non-Oil And Gas Export Forecasting Aceh Province Using Arima And Double Exponential Methods. In: ICON-ESS 2018, 17–18 October 2018, Banda Aceh, Indonesia.
eai.17-10-2018.2294214.pdf - Published Version
Download (393kB) | Preview
Abstract
Since 2017, there have been no exports of oil and gas commodities (oil and gas) from Aceh Province, so that the commodities exported only come from non-oil and gas commodities. From 2016 to 2015, non-oil and gas exports from Aceh were dominated by urea fertilizer. However, since 2015 there has been no export of urea fertilizer and has been replaced by anhydrous ammonia . K arena is important to model forecasting the value of non-oil exports. The model that is compared is the ARIMA and double exponential methods . The result is the ARIMA method is better in modeling the value of non-oil exports. The results of forecasting non-oil exports in Aceh Province in 2016 showed an increase compared to 2017.
Item Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Paper) |
---|---|
Uncontrolled Keywords: | non oil and gas exports arima double exponential |
Subjects: | H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General) |
Depositing User: | EAI Editor IV |
Date Deposited: | 19 Jul 2021 14:04 |
Last Modified: | 19 Jul 2021 14:04 |
URI: | https://eprints.eudl.eu/id/eprint/4847 |