Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Economics, Business and Economic Education Science, ICE-BEES 2020, 22-23 July 2020, Semarang, Indonesia

Research Article

Assessing the Determinants of Exchange Rate Stability: An Empirical Evidence in Malaysia

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  • @INPROCEEDINGS{10.4108/eai.22-7-2020.2307886,
        author={Rohaiza  Kamis and Mohd. Isham Abidin and Shafinar  Ismail and Mohd. Halim Mahphoth and Amsyar Haziq bin Arifin},
        title={Assessing the Determinants of Exchange Rate Stability: An Empirical Evidence in Malaysia},
        proceedings={Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Economics, Business and Economic Education Science, ICE-BEES 2020, 22-23 July 2020, Semarang, Indonesia},
        publisher={EAI},
        proceedings_a={ICE-BEES},
        year={2021},
        month={5},
        keywords={macroeconomic variables exchange rate multiple linear regression},
        doi={10.4108/eai.22-7-2020.2307886}
    }
    
  • Rohaiza Kamis
    Mohd. Isham Abidin
    Shafinar Ismail
    Mohd. Halim Mahphoth
    Amsyar Haziq bin Arifin
    Year: 2021
    Assessing the Determinants of Exchange Rate Stability: An Empirical Evidence in Malaysia
    ICE-BEES
    EAI
    DOI: 10.4108/eai.22-7-2020.2307886
Rohaiza Kamis1,*, Mohd. Isham Abidin1, Shafinar Ismail1, Mohd. Halim Mahphoth1, Amsyar Haziq bin Arifin1
  • 1: Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia
*Contact email: rohai451@uitm.edu.my

Abstract

This study empirically examined the effect of macroeconomic variables on the exchange rate of Malaysia Ringgit against the US dollar for the past 14-year on monthly basis from July 2005 to July 2019. The Real Exchange Rate of Malaysia Ringgit against the US dollar (EXC) has been used as a dependent variable where the other four macroeconomic components had been classified as the export (EXP), import (IMP), inflation (INF), and interest rate (INT) as independent variables. The result shows that the export (EXP) is positively significant at level 5%, the import (IMP) is negatively significant at 5% level of significance with the real exchange rate (EXC), the inflation (INF) is also negatively significant at 1% level of significance, and interest rate (INT) is not significant. The EXP has positively forced the exchange rate means that when the values of this variable increase the value of exchange will be increasing but in the case of IMP and INF is vice versa. The inflation is the most significant macroeconomic determinant of the exchange rate. These findings may give some overview of policy implications to the policymakers in optimizing the effects of macroeconomic variables towards the stability of the exchange rate.